Quick Test: MACD System

There’s a thread on the Automated Trading Strategies group on LinkedIn about MACD systems.

Here are some test results using two MACD’s to build a simple system: a shorter ’10-20′ MACD – the entry signal, and a longer ‘100-200’ MACD – the big trend direction indicator, to build a simple system or indicator:

Rules:

Enter when the short 10-20 macd is less than 0 (entry edge) and the longer 100-200 macd is greater than 0 (trade in direction of the trend). Exit after 20 days, 1991- p, SP futures:

Historically bullish (81/109 74% +10.8 pts sd 41.0 pts  z 2.7)

Results: are statistically significant 

Caveats: No stops, no commissions, no slippage. Big drawdowns. Good exercise.

Always good to pound some numbers,

–h
Henry Carstens
503-701-5741

 

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