The First Law #idea
“This, too, must be tested.” –Dr. Niederhoffer The First Law. The Guiding Principle. –h
“This, too, must be tested.” –Dr. Niederhoffer The First Law. The Guiding Principle. –h
What does market data look like after you apply a spam filter to it? –h
The most fascinating thing about counting and the markets is the difference between the real and the imagined. –h
Machine Learning with R Every time I’ve applied Machine Learning, I end up curve fitting but I keep soldiering on expecting that sooner or later something will click. I loved Machine Learning with R which is full of examples and has a nice overview of the field. The snippet on comparing two variables using CrossTable() Read more about Machine Learning with R #ideas[…]
Are Two (Uncorrelated) Edges Better Than One?* Our results pre- and post- Market Stress, our second edge: All Market Stress Change Avg 67.61 93.04 38% Std dev 1042.9 299.79 -71% llt (8640.00) (1000.00) -88% w/l ratio 0.83 0.65 -21% win pct 60% 78% 31% f 0.11 0.45 303% f$ 76591 2200 -97% z 2.32 2.22 Read more about Are Two Edges Better Than One? #idea[…]
Trade Tiers: Tier 1: Two or more independent edges, e.g., quant + Market Stress Tier 2: A single edge Tier 3: A seasonal –h