Deception, Part 2
How many points of slop need to be allocated to a trade to allow for deception? Or does deception just move the optimal entry price? –h Deception Part 1 is here.
Author: hcarstens
Deception
All warfare is based on deception… –Sun Tzu Which adds an interesting dimension, –h
12 Month Trend Day Forecast Results Available
Trend Day Forecast historical results covering the past 12 months are available. Accuracy was 69% over all timeframes in the SP futures. About 2 set-ups per day, average +1.5 pts. Call or drop a note to request a copy, –h Henry Carstens 503-701-5741 carstens@verticalsolutions.com
Forecasting, Creativity and Learning
Creativity is the degree to which you insert yourself between the numbers and the conclusions Expertise is the degreee to which you are right Learning, in both cases, is the difference in degree at time [t] and time [t-1] –h
GDP Histogram
Histogram of world gdp by country: it’s a normal distribution! Now isn’t that interesting…
Practice During the Trading Day
It’s okay to paper trade during the trading day. It’s a good way to implement continuous practice, to test out new ideas and a way to weed out marginal trades.
Starting at the very beginning
Sometimes the most basic tests provide the biggest insights and can later be used to refine other tests. Idea: Buy or sell in the opposite direction of the day’s trade, i.e., if today was up from yesterday’s close, then go home short. If today was down, go home long. Exit at the close of the Read more about Starting at the very beginning[…]