Win Loss Ratio #idea

Hypothesis: The win/loss ratio can be changed (avg winning trade/avg losing trade) Benefit: Smaller drawdowns and if smaller llt then can handle more leverage Test: Use the Market Stress indicator to minimize trades in overbought/oversold areas where losing trades tend to be out-sized. Test: Only take short trades over shorter time periods

Labs: Market Stress

The elusive and somewhat grail-like search for turning points: US, Stoxx and ES are currently under high stress – This uses relative price movements to show when the prices of a market get out of line with their peers (we got the idea here.) The gray lines measure stress. Stress is calculated as price moves relative Read more about Labs: Market Stress[…]

August Performance

Every day we put out a markets forecast – a group of quant-based trade set-ups –  primarily for Equities, Fixed and Gold. This is how the Forecast has done (un-leveraged) – Acct Bal $1,000,000 Date $/contract %/contract Mar-12 $20,839 2.1% Apr-12 $8,958 0.9% May-12 $16,796 1.7% Jun-12 $21,020 2.1% Jul-12 ($1,378) -0.1% Aug-12 $6,338 0.6% Read more about August Performance[…]