The Real and The Imagined #idea
The most fascinating thing about counting and the markets is the difference between the real and the imagined. –h
Category: Creativity
Machine Learning with R #ideas
Machine Learning with R Every time I’ve applied Machine Learning, I end up curve fitting but I keep soldiering on expecting that sooner or later something will click. I loved Machine Learning with R which is full of examples and has a nice overview of the field. The snippet on comparing two variables using CrossTable() Read more about Machine Learning with R #ideas[…]
What’s Missing – the Error Term #idea
What’s missing? [t+1] = how I forecast what comes next What’s missing is the error term – [t+1] = how I forecast what comes next + (error) The error term is what completes the performance triad: Visualize, Execute, Analyze Learning, continuous improvement and perhaps even ideas and serendipity happen faster with the explicit use and Read more about What’s Missing – the Error Term #idea[…]
Innovation through Design Thinking
Nice podcast on how designers innovate. The Nascar pit crew example is interesting for trading, esp short term trading, –h
How to Predict the Winner of the Presidential Election
How to Predict the Winner of the Presidential Election (This formula and method predicted the last US Congressional election to the seat!) Spoiler: Romney 56 – 44% Here’s the ‘How To…’, it is straightforward and intuitive – We’re going to use something called the normal distribution, aka the Bell Curve and The Law of Large Read more about How to Predict the Winner of the Presidential Election[…]
Quick Idea: Changing Axes, Changing Paradigms
In this Ted Talk, Hans Rosling changes the axes on a graph, breaks a paradigm and creates an insight. What new axes could we use on our charts that would change our paradigms and create new insights? –h Henry Carstens 503-701-5741
Quick Tip: Data on the Data
Or, data on the decisions made w/ the data. Enables continuous and incremental improvements and new insights. –h Henry Carstens 503-701-5741
Quick Tip: Working on Technique Can Lead to Mastery and New Ideas
It’s good to take a break from the never-ending search for the new and simply focus on technique. Working on technique can lead to mastery and open unexpected doors to the new. “Wax on. Wax off.” –h Henry Carstens 503-701-5471
Quick Idea: On Counting, Nuance and Insight
It all starts with the numbers. And counting. It gets interesting when the numbers, and the counting, take on nuance. It gets beautiful when then numbers, and the counting, paint progressively more interesting pictures. –h Henry Carstens 503-701-5741
Quick Idea: Changing Colors
I got a new keyboard for my Mac. The new keyboard is black, just like all the keyboards for my Windows machines. Now, every time I goto edit on my Mac, I find myself using the Windows keyboard shortcuts instead of the Mac keyboard shortcuts – my typing response is being consistently triggered by the Read more about Quick Idea: Changing Colors[…]