Old or New?
Knowing when to improve performance by further mastering existing tools and when to invent/learn new tools is the key to both continuous improvement and mastery. –h
Category: Creativity
The Forecaster and the Forecastee
In forecasting, there are two variables, the Forecaster and the Forecastee. Since it is unlikely we can or should change the behavior of the Forecastee, improvement must come from improving the Forecaster. Which seems a crystalizing, if obvious, thought, –h
Deception, Part 2
How many points of slop need to be allocated to a trade to allow for deception? Or does deception just move the optimal entry price? –h Deception Part 1 is here.
Deception
All warfare is based on deception… –Sun Tzu Which adds an interesting dimension, –h
Forecasting, Creativity and Learning
Creativity is the degree to which you insert yourself between the numbers and the conclusions Expertise is the degreee to which you are right Learning, in both cases, is the difference in degree at time [t] and time [t-1] –h