Innovation through Design Thinking
Nice podcast on how designers innovate. The Nascar pit crew example is interesting for trading, esp short term trading, –h
Category: Ideas
How to Predict the Winner of the Presidential Election
How to Predict the Winner of the Presidential Election (This formula and method predicted the last US Congressional election to the seat!) Spoiler: Romney 56 – 44% Here’s the ‘How To…’, it is straightforward and intuitive – We’re going to use something called the normal distribution, aka the Bell Curve and The Law of Large Read more about How to Predict the Winner of the Presidential Election[…]
A Simple Gold Study
Gold futures have been up on a year-to-year basis, every year since 2005. With a z score of 4.24, An annual return of about 12%, A max drawdown of roughly 30%, –h
Wolfram Alpha Pro
Wolfram Alpha Pro, instant summary statistics for quickly evaluating trade ideas and trader P&L’s, –h Henry Carstens 503-701-5741
Quick Look: Clusters
Clusters in SP daily data, where x is the absolute close-to-close move and y the range, –h Henry Carstens 503-701-5741
Quick Tip: Big Counting
There are two types of counting*: Big and Small. Big counting is used to gain big picture understanding. Examples of Big counting are – Has the impact of Bond prices on Stock prices changed since 2007? What is the impact of Copper prices on Bond prices? Small counting is used to help understand a specific Read more about Quick Tip: Big Counting[…]
Quick Idea: Changing Axes, Changing Paradigms
In this Ted Talk, Hans Rosling changes the axes on a graph, breaks a paradigm and creates an insight. What new axes could we use on our charts that would change our paradigms and create new insights? –h Henry Carstens 503-701-5741
Quick Test: MACD System
There’s a thread on the Automated Trading Strategies group on LinkedIn about MACD systems. Here are some test results using two MACD’s to build a simple system: a shorter ’10-20′ MACD – the entry signal, and a longer ‘100-200’ MACD – the big trend direction indicator, to build a simple system or indicator: Rules: Enter Read more about Quick Test: MACD System[…]
Quick Tip: Data on the Data
Or, data on the decisions made w/ the data. Enables continuous and incremental improvements and new insights. –h Henry Carstens 503-701-5741
Quick Tip: Working on Technique Can Lead to Mastery and New Ideas
It’s good to take a break from the never-ending search for the new and simply focus on technique. Working on technique can lead to mastery and open unexpected doors to the new. “Wax on. Wax off.” –h Henry Carstens 503-701-5471