Does anybody have any ideas on how to test/develop the liklihood that an event has already been discounted? If I can get a toehold, maybe I can develop something worth passing back… –h Henry Carstens 503-701-5741
It all starts with the numbers. And counting. It gets interesting when the numbers, and the counting, take on nuance. It gets beautiful when then numbers, and the counting, paint progressively more interesting pictures. –h Henry Carstens 503-701-5741
Our end of year regression forecast for SP Cash was 1119.29 which now seems reasonable to carry over into Q1 given the amount of government intervention manipulating market movements. And our 2012 GDP forecast was for 0% growth, which is supporting of a bearish bias. Still, it’s probably a good idea get another data point into Q1, this Read more about Quick Look: SP Forecast for Q1 2012[…]
I got a new keyboard for my Mac. The new keyboard is black, just like all the keyboards for my Windows machines. Now, every time I goto edit on my Mac, I find myself using the Windows keyboard shortcuts instead of the Mac keyboard shortcuts – my typing response is being consistently triggered by the Read more about Quick Idea: Changing Colors[…]
Knowing when to improve performance by further mastering existing tools and when to invent/learn new tools is the key to both continuous improvement and mastery. –h
How many points of slop need to be allocated to a trade to allow for deception? Or does deception just move the optimal entry price? –h Deception Part 1 is here.
All warfare is based on deception… –Sun Tzu Which adds an interesting dimension, –h
It’s okay to paper trade during the trading day. It’s a good way to implement continuous practice, to test out new ideas and a way to weed out marginal trades.
Sometimes the most basic tests provide the biggest insights and can later be used to refine other tests. Idea: Buy or sell in the opposite direction of the day’s trade, i.e., if today was up from yesterday’s close, then go home short. If today was down, go home long. Exit at the close of the Read more about Starting at the very beginning[…]